by Calculated Risk on 11/02/2022 08:26:00 AM
October and annual pay was up 7.7 percent year-over-year, according to the October ADP(R) National
Employment ReportTM produced by the ADP Research Institute(R) in collaboration with the Stanford Digital
Economy Lab (“Stanford Lab”).
The jobs report and pay insights use ADP’s fine-grained anonymized and aggregated payroll data of over
25 million U.S. employees to provide a representative picture of the labor market. The report details the
current month’s total private employment change, and weekly job data from the previous month. ADP’s
pay measure uniquely captures the earnings of a cohort of almost 10 million employees over a 12-month
“This is a really strong number given the maturity of the economic recovery but the hiring was not broad based,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “Goods producers, which are sensitive to interest
rates, are pulling back, and job changers are commanding smaller pay gains. While we’re seeing early
signs of Fed-driven demand destruction, it’s affecting only certain sectors of the labor market.”
This was above the consensus forecast of 200,000. The BLS report will be released Friday, and the consensus is for 2o0 thousand non-farm payroll jobs added in October.